Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.265175 0.306839 0.354266 0.412530 0.482567 0.564523 0.668385
2025-10-12 0.204203 0.258636 0.327749 0.423216 0.553688 0.728765 0.986673
2025-10-19 0.168544 0.227550 0.308585 0.430697 0.614876 0.890533 1.350863
2025-10-26 0.146634 0.208197 0.298213 0.443879 0.682599 1.075401 1.809841
2025-11-02 0.128627 0.190203 0.284957 0.447660 0.733825 1.245369 2.304740
2025-11-09 0.114113 0.174630 0.271897 0.447727 0.776917 1.411199 2.856215
2025-11-16 0.101890 0.160590 0.258562 0.443859 0.810722 1.567760 3.454351
2025-11-23 0.091332 0.147686 0.244895 0.436271 0.834743 1.710448 4.085554
2025-11-30 0.085327 0.141656 0.242193 0.448611 0.902055 1.968994 5.149114
2025-12-07 0.077551 0.131460 0.230333 0.440331 0.922321 2.122878 6.002465
2025-12-14 0.072158 0.124918 0.224388 0.443115 0.968517 2.358286 7.260173
2025-12-21 0.067121 0.118432 0.217633 0.442849 1.007290 2.587946 8.659288
2025-12-28 0.063886 0.115128 0.217002 0.456755 1.087415 2.974386 10.999162
2026-01-04 0.060518 0.111197 0.214593 0.466247 1.159293 3.369967 13.775670
2026-01-11 0.057351 0.107308 0.211737 0.474148 1.229422 3.794460 17.171870
2026-01-18 0.054997 0.104817 0.211581 0.488837 1.324518 4.358701 22.073263
2026-01-25 0.052110 0.100893 0.207688 0.493060 1.388777 4.841259 27.214233
2026-02-01 0.049223 0.096675 0.202592 0.493131 1.440028 5.301684 33.001254
2026-02-08 0.046335 0.092176 0.196301 0.488791 1.475481 5.716518 39.249371
2026-02-15 0.043473 0.087472 0.188982 0.480282 1.494166 6.068055 45.725699
2026-02-22 0.042071 0.085926 0.189208 0.494122 1.600930 6.935160 59.615157
2026-03-01 0.039590 0.081684 0.182214 0.484835 1.615762 7.325901 69.322550
2026-03-08 0.037910 0.079163 0.179332 0.487958 1.682521 8.067555 86.203199